Check their drawdown history carefully. Many signal providers hide their worst losing streaks. I’ve seen traders with 90% win rates making 5 pips on wins but losing 150 pips when they’re wrong. That strategy doesn’t work long-term. Real pros focus on consistent returns, not flashy win percentages. I prefer following someone with 65% wins and small losses over someone chasing crazy stats that could blow up my account.
Huge red flag. I’ve tracked dozens of signal providers - the 90%+ win rate guys always blow up.
Saw this with a trader who hit 92% wins for 8 months. His average loss was 15x bigger than his average win. When EUR/USD trended hard against him, he wiped out 6 months of profits in two weeks.
The math’s simple - win 9 out of 10 trades but let that 1 loser eat all your gains? You’re not profitable. I’d rather follow someone with 60% wins and solid risk management.
Check their drawdown periods and average loss size. That’s where the truth is.
High win rates often signal problems. These managers tend to let losing trades go too long, expecting recovery.
I’ve watched managers with 90% win rates suffer huge losses from a single bad trade that wiped out weeks of profits. They risk small losses turning into large account damage.
Focus on risk-to-reward instead. A trader with 50% win rate and good position sizing can outperform someone with inflated win rates.