Been riding this bull market for months now and it feels like we’re getting close to a top.
Seeing way too many people talking about buying the dip on everything. Usually that’s when things start to turn.
What do you think - are we looking at a few more months or is this thing gonna crash sooner?
Could be true. When retail starts pouring in, it usually means we are near the peak.
Nobody knows but I’m already selling into strength.
Everyone’s missing the Fed angle here.
Crypto bull runs die when liquidity dries up. We’ve got decent flow right now, but that flips fast if the Fed goes hawkish again.
I’ve seen three crypto cycles - they all ended the same way. Not from retail FOMO, but macro shifts. 2018 crashed when rates went up. Same thing in 2022.
The euphoria you’re seeing is real, but it can drag on for months. What actually kills these runs? Risk assets getting hammered by macro headwinds.
Watch bond yields and dollar strength. When those turn against crypto, the party’s over.
Nobody can time the exact top, but I’m seeing the same signals.
BTC dominance is dropping while alts are going nuts. Classic final phase behavior before things cool off.
Funding rates have been high for weeks. When everyone’s leveraged long and paying premium to hold, it doesn’t last.
Started taking profits around 60k and scaling out since. Not calling a crash, but this feels like early 2021 before that summer correction.
Maybe one more push higher, but I’m not betting on it.
The ‘buy the dip’ crowd always shows up right at market tops. This video nails the retail mentality:
I’m thinking we’ve got maybe another month or two left.
Euphoria phases drag on longer than you’d think, then crash fast.
Watch what crypto does when stocks pull back next. If crypto stays strong or even rallies while stocks tank, there’s probably more room to run.
But if crypto dumps harder than stocks in the next correction, retail’s probably losing interest and this bull run might be done.
Bull runs die when overleveraged positions get wiped out. Retail showing up doesn’t kill them. Keep an eye on derivatives. When open interest goes high and funding rates stay jacked for weeks, that’s your signal. It’s happening now across exchanges. Crypto’s cyclical but you can’t time it perfectly. Smart money sells in chunks during hype, not after everything crashes. If you’re wondering when this ends, start trimming your bags now. Don’t try to catch the exact top - leave money on the table.